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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Virginia Tech-0.06+8.89vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+1.45vs Predicted
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3Christopher Newport University1.71+1.91vs Predicted
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4University of Buffalo0.75+3.72vs Predicted
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5Syracuse University1.06+1.86vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.62vs Predicted
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7Columbia University1.65-2.15vs Predicted
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8Washington College1.52-2.62vs Predicted
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9William and Mary0.87-1.55vs Predicted
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10Villanova University1.08-3.19vs Predicted
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11Queen's University0.39-2.19vs Predicted
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12U. S. Military Academy0.51-3.56vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.57-0.14vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.89Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
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3.45Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
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4.91Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
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7.72University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
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6.86Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
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6.62Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.85Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
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5.38Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
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7.45William and Mary0.870.1%1st Place
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6.81Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
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8.81Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
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8.44U. S. Military Academy0.510.0%1st Place
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12.86Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
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10.93Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nathan Gibson | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 15.4% | 20.1% | 7.6% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 22.4% | 21.2% | 15.0% | 12.8% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Amanda Attardi | 13.1% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Rory Mess | 3.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 5.3% | 1.1% |
| Barrie Joanna | 5.6% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 13.5% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Schmidt | 11.6% | 11.6% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 6.2% | 3.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 1.1% |
| Harrison Paige | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% |
| Victoria Restivo | 3.8% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 11.0% | 3.5% |
| Michael Danko | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 3.4% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 14.0% | 65.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 14.4% | 28.5% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.