← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Washington College1.52+4.33vs Predicted
-
2Hampton University2.26+1.45vs Predicted
-
3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.51vs Predicted
-
4University of Buffalo0.75+3.75vs Predicted
-
5Villanova University1.08+1.81vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech-0.06+4.11vs Predicted
-
7Columbia University1.65-2.11vs Predicted
-
8Christopher Newport University1.71-3.03vs Predicted
-
9U. S. Military Academy0.51-0.53vs Predicted
-
10Penn State University-1.57+2.91vs Predicted
-
11William and Mary0.87-3.60vs Predicted
-
12Syracuse University1.06-5.20vs Predicted
-
13Queen's University0.39-4.31vs Predicted
-
14Monmouth University-0.46-3.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.33Washington College1.520.1%1st Place
-
3.45Hampton University2.260.2%1st Place
-
6.51Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
7.75University of Buffalo0.750.0%1st Place
-
6.81Villanova University1.080.1%1st Place
-
10.11Virginia Tech-0.060.0%1st Place
-
4.89Columbia University1.650.1%1st Place
-
4.97Christopher Newport University1.710.1%1st Place
-
8.47U. S. Military Academy0.510.1%1st Place
-
12.91Penn State University-1.570.0%1st Place
-
7.4William and Mary0.870.0%1st Place
-
6.8Syracuse University1.060.1%1st Place
-
8.69Queen's University0.390.0%1st Place
-
10.9Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Schmidt | 10.4% | 11.7% | 12.6% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 23.2% | 19.7% | 16.5% | 12.0% | 10.2% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 9.5% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Rory Mess | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 9.8% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Harrison Paige | 6.0% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Nathan Gibson | 2.0% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 15.7% | 19.8% | 9.6% |
| Adam DeVita | 13.6% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 4.6% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Amanda Attardi | 13.3% | 13.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Michael Danko | 5.0% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Justin Dillman | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 6.1% | 15.9% | 65.6% |
| Patrick Mazzeo | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 0.8% |
| Barrie Joanna | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Victoria Restivo | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 13.6% | 10.3% | 2.5% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 10.1% | 12.9% | 28.4% | 15.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.