Race 1A

mosbacher-owen-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Bailey Carter 7.5% 5.9% 7.6% 7.0% 6.5% 8.0% 9.1% 9.4% 6.5% 9.6% 8.0% 8.3% 4.5% 1.8% 0.3%
Hunter Johnstone 12.7% 15.5% 12.2% 10.5% 10.9% 9.3% 7.2% 6.6% 5.5% 4.3% 2.4% 2.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Connor Godfrey 10.0% 10.2% 10.8% 10.6% 8.4% 9.4% 9.1% 7.8% 9.4% 5.7% 4.4% 2.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 12.5% 9.4% 9.9% 10.1% 8.7% 9.1% 9.6% 8.1% 6.9% 6.3% 4.8% 4.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Juan Perdomo 9.2% 8.8% 8.2% 7.4% 9.6% 8.6% 8.9% 10.1% 8.3% 6.6% 6.0% 4.7% 3.1% 0.4% 0.1%
Clark Uhl 10.5% 10.9% 8.3% 9.6% 10.7% 9.9% 9.8% 8.1% 7.4% 5.4% 4.8% 3.2% 1.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Tyler Fleig 4.8% 3.9% 3.6% 5.3% 5.7% 5.0% 5.9% 5.6% 9.1% 10.0% 12.0% 14.4% 11.1% 3.0% 0.6%
Luke Andersen 4.8% 4.8% 5.4% 6.4% 6.1% 5.2% 8.1% 7.7% 7.8% 10.3% 11.2% 12.8% 7.4% 1.9% 0.1%
Adam DiDomizio 6.7% 6.5% 8.4% 8.5% 8.9% 8.5% 7.7% 9.6% 8.5% 8.9% 8.4% 6.1% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 9.9% 10.9% 12.8% 10.0% 10.1% 10.4% 8.2% 7.7% 6.6% 5.5% 4.2% 2.7% 0.7% 0.3% 0.0%
John Silvestri 4.6% 6.0% 5.9% 6.7% 6.1% 7.2% 6.3% 8.1% 8.9% 8.1% 10.8% 10.6% 8.2% 2.4% 0.1%
Robert Whitaker 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.8% 2.6% 1.9% 3.9% 5.1% 7.3% 11.4% 31.4% 25.6% 2.4%
Emily Petno 4.9% 5.2% 5.4% 5.7% 5.8% 6.5% 6.3% 7.8% 8.8% 12.1% 12.2% 11.0% 6.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Elizabeth Siegal 0.4% 0.7% 0.2% 0.7% 0.7% 1.0% 0.7% 1.2% 2.1% 1.6% 2.7% 5.3% 17.6% 48.0% 17.1%
Charles Christianson 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 3.5% 13.3% 79.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.