Race 3A

mosbacher-owen-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Connor Godfrey 10.8% 10.9% 9.9% 8.5% 9.9% 9.6% 8.0% 8.1% 8.4% 5.2% 4.5% 3.7% 1.7% 0.8% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 10.6% 12.7% 10.6% 8.9% 9.2% 9.8% 9.0% 7.1% 6.6% 6.4% 4.5% 3.6% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 12.5% 12.0% 10.3% 9.8% 9.9% 8.8% 8.8% 8.7% 7.4% 4.4% 4.2% 2.4% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Bailey Carter 6.4% 6.3% 8.1% 7.3% 6.9% 6.8% 8.5% 8.9% 7.9% 9.8% 9.1% 7.8% 4.9% 1.2% 0.1%
Emily Petno 5.5% 6.2% 5.8% 5.1% 5.5% 6.4% 8.3% 7.3% 7.9% 11.3% 10.6% 11.2% 6.3% 2.4% 0.2%
Hunter Johnstone 13.1% 14.2% 9.1% 13.7% 10.3% 9.5% 9.3% 6.6% 4.6% 3.9% 3.7% 1.5% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Clark Uhl 12.0% 8.7% 11.6% 9.5% 9.5% 9.9% 9.3% 6.8% 6.8% 5.8% 6.0% 2.3% 1.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Adam DiDomizio 7.1% 6.8% 8.5% 8.5% 6.7% 9.2% 7.1% 9.6% 9.1% 8.8% 7.9% 6.4% 3.3% 1.0% 0.0%
Juan Perdomo 8.2% 8.6% 8.7% 10.2% 9.6% 8.3% 8.1% 10.2% 8.3% 7.6% 5.6% 4.6% 1.4% 0.5% 0.1%
John Silvestri 4.7% 4.3% 6.5% 6.0% 6.4% 6.8% 6.5% 9.2% 10.5% 9.6% 8.9% 11.6% 6.6% 2.3% 0.1%
Tyler Fleig 3.9% 3.9% 4.2% 4.2% 5.5% 5.0% 7.7% 6.4% 8.4% 9.0% 11.4% 14.5% 11.3% 4.1% 0.5%
Luke Andersen 3.6% 3.4% 4.5% 6.4% 7.3% 6.2% 6.9% 6.1% 8.5% 11.1% 12.3% 12.7% 8.8% 2.1% 0.1%
Robert Whitaker 1.1% 1.5% 1.5% 1.4% 2.5% 2.3% 1.2% 3.7% 3.5% 4.8% 6.8% 11.1% 32.8% 22.8% 3.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 0.4% 0.5% 0.5% 0.4% 0.6% 1.0% 1.0% 1.0% 1.7% 2.1% 3.8% 5.3% 15.4% 48.7% 17.6%
Charles Christianson 0.1% 0.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.3% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.7% 1.3% 4.0% 13.5% 78.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.