Race 5A

mosbacher-owen-knapp-trophies

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
John Silvestri 6.4% 5.7% 6.5% 7.0% 5.2% 7.3% 7.0% 6.0% 8.5% 10.0% 10.4% 10.1% 7.4% 2.3% 0.2%
Adam DiDomizio 6.8% 7.0% 9.5% 8.8% 8.1% 8.0% 8.7% 8.1% 7.2% 8.8% 8.9% 6.6% 2.8% 0.7% 0.0%
Connor Godfrey 10.8% 9.8% 10.1% 9.0% 9.2% 10.1% 8.8% 7.0% 8.5% 5.6% 6.2% 3.4% 1.3% 0.2% 0.0%
Hunter Johnstone 13.9% 14.4% 11.4% 10.0% 10.4% 9.7% 6.8% 7.7% 5.9% 4.3% 3.2% 1.9% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0%
Malcolm Lamphere 11.7% 11.6% 10.3% 8.7% 10.0% 8.7% 10.4% 8.0% 6.3% 5.2% 5.0% 3.1% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Roberto Stevens 9.8% 10.7% 11.2% 8.4% 10.9% 10.5% 8.5% 7.9% 6.9% 5.9% 4.9% 3.3% 1.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Bailey Carter 7.2% 5.6% 5.5% 9.5% 6.5% 7.7% 7.9% 9.0% 8.5% 9.8% 8.0% 8.3% 5.0% 1.2% 0.3%
Clark Uhl 11.1% 11.1% 9.5% 9.3% 9.6% 8.4% 7.8% 8.6% 8.7% 7.0% 3.7% 3.1% 2.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Tyler Fleig 3.4% 3.3% 4.6% 5.9% 4.9% 5.1% 7.2% 8.2% 8.1% 9.2% 11.9% 12.8% 11.2% 4.0% 0.2%
Emily Petno 5.2% 4.4% 6.1% 5.5% 6.5% 7.5% 7.4% 9.0% 8.4% 9.5% 9.6% 11.5% 7.3% 1.7% 0.4%
Robert Whitaker 1.5% 1.8% 1.3% 1.0% 2.1% 1.5% 3.3% 2.9% 3.9% 4.9% 7.2% 11.0% 33.5% 19.6% 4.5%
Juan Perdomo 7.0% 9.1% 8.5% 8.9% 10.1% 8.3% 7.2% 8.5% 7.9% 8.8% 7.0% 5.6% 2.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Elizabeth Siegal 0.4% 0.1% 0.2% 0.9% 0.7% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 1.6% 2.3% 5.3% 12.2% 53.6% 17.4%
Luke Andersen 4.7% 5.3% 5.2% 7.0% 5.6% 6.0% 7.6% 7.6% 8.6% 8.6% 11.3% 12.6% 7.9% 1.9% 0.1%
Charles Christianson 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.4% 0.8% 0.4% 1.4% 4.5% 14.0% 76.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.