Race 5B

troy-swetman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caleb Cunningham 23.4% 21.6% 18.3% 13.0% 12.3% 7.1% 2.5% 1.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Coleman Terrell 29.8% 24.5% 18.6% 12.7% 7.6% 4.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Foster 5.1% 6.6% 7.6% 8.9% 11.0% 16.6% 18.9% 15.2% 8.0% 2.1%
Stuart Conrad 5.1% 7.6% 11.3% 12.8% 13.9% 16.7% 14.3% 12.1% 5.5% 0.7%
Mary Duncan 18.9% 19.6% 18.5% 18.3% 11.9% 5.5% 4.5% 2.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Ryan Carden 7.6% 8.7% 9.7% 12.8% 15.3% 15.3% 13.7% 11.5% 4.8% 0.6%
Aly Gazzola 2.6% 2.6% 4.7% 6.8% 9.4% 10.1% 17.1% 23.3% 17.1% 6.3%
Nicholas Kirk 6.0% 6.9% 9.4% 10.0% 13.2% 17.0% 14.7% 14.5% 7.0% 1.3%
Caitlin Bezecny 0.8% 1.4% 1.0% 3.3% 2.8% 4.6% 7.3% 11.7% 33.9% 33.2%
Patricia Boston 0.7% 0.5% 0.9% 1.4% 2.6% 3.0% 4.9% 7.6% 22.9% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.