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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.10+5.40vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+3.05vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University1.31+4.32vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+4.89vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.42-2.18vs Predicted
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6Brown University1.69+0.19vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+4.84vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-1.91vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.44+1.49vs Predicted
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10Northeastern University1.18-1.99vs Predicted
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11Boston University-0.48+1.70vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.54-2.59vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.24-1.74vs Predicted
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14Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-1.10vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.12-3.96vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.97-0.20vs Predicted
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17Boston College1.36-10.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.4Dartmouth College2.107.2%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University2.1711.9%1st Place
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7.32Roger Williams University1.315.3%1st Place
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8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.814.0%1st Place
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2.82Yale University2.4233.1%1st Place
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6.19Brown University1.697.1%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College0.521.0%1st Place
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6.09Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.2%1st Place
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10.49Bowdoin College0.442.1%1st Place
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8.01Northeastern University1.185.0%1st Place
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12.7Boston University-0.480.7%1st Place
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9.41Tufts University0.543.1%1st Place
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11.26University of Vermont0.241.5%1st Place
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12.9Maine Maritime Academy-0.481.1%1st Place
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11.04University of Rhode Island0.122.1%1st Place
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15.8Middlebury College-1.970.1%1st Place
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6.79Boston College1.366.5%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sarah Young | 7.2% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 4.0% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Carmen Cowles | 33.1% | 21.5% | 16.1% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.6% | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.9% | 4.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 9.8% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 1.6% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.0% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 11.5% | 13.8% | 20.7% | 9.0% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 3.0% |
| Simone Ford | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 16.1% | 20.8% | 10.3% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 2.9% |
| Kate Adams | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 6.0% | 11.8% | 67.4% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.