← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Fordham University3.11+4.83vs Predicted
-
2Dartmouth College2.45+5.68vs Predicted
-
3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.24vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.77+2.83vs Predicted
-
5U. S. Naval Academy2.15+3.80vs Predicted
-
6Fordham University3.16-0.31vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College3.39-2.02vs Predicted
-
8Cornell University2.37+0.13vs Predicted
-
9Cornell University3.14-3.33vs Predicted
-
10Yale University3.25-4.50vs Predicted
-
11Harvard University2.96-4.69vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University2.45-3.89vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University0.11+0.22vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University1.09-2.50vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.83Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
-
7.68Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
-
7.24Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
-
6.83George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
-
8.8U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
-
5.69Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
-
4.98Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
-
8.13Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
-
5.67Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
-
5.5Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
-
6.31Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
-
8.11Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
-
13.22Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
-
11.5Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
-
14.51U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Godfrey | 10.8% | 10.4% | 10.6% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.6% | 2.1% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.2% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 7.7% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 10.7% | 5.2% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 4.1% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.0% | 11.5% | 15.1% | 12.9% | 3.0% | 0.4% |
| Roberto Stevens | 10.4% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 14.5% | 12.4% | 12.5% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 5.5% | 4.8% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 14.4% | 7.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Clark Uhl | 9.7% | 10.9% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.3% | 10.7% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 1.6% | 0.2% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 5.6% | 13.7% | 50.2% | 18.5% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 10.6% | 31.7% | 22.1% | 3.4% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 15.4% | 76.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.