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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+6.69vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College3.39+2.90vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.25vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.11+1.85vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.96+1.34vs Predicted
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6Columbia University0.11+7.12vs Predicted
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7Fordham University3.16-1.36vs Predicted
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8Salve Regina University2.45-0.14vs Predicted
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9Yale University3.25-3.65vs Predicted
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10George Washington University2.77-3.08vs Predicted
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11Cornell University3.14-5.23vs Predicted
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12U. S. Naval Academy2.15-2.99vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.37-4.67vs Predicted
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14Princeton University1.09-2.55vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.69Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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4.9Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.25Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.85Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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6.34Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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13.12Columbia University0.110.0%1st Place
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5.64Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.86Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.35Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.92George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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5.77Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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9.01U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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8.33Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.45Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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14.53U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 6.7% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 6.4% | 1.8% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.2% | 15.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 5.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| Connor Godfrey | 10.2% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 9.3% | 9.6% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Siegal | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 13.7% | 51.4% | 18.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.9% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.9% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 11.9% | 6.5% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.6% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 3.7% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.1% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 12.1% | 14.9% | 13.1% | 4.1% | 0.2% |
| Luke Andersen | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 12.9% | 8.5% | 2.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 11.2% | 30.9% | 21.4% | 3.2% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 3.7% | 14.0% | 77.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.