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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College3.39+3.89vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.45+5.63vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+4.20vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.37+4.04vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+0.73vs Predicted
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6George Washington University2.77+0.81vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy2.15+1.63vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.96-1.74vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.11-3.27vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-4.24vs Predicted
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11Princeton University1.09+0.33vs Predicted
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12Yale University3.25-6.42vs Predicted
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13Salve Regina University2.45-4.92vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.91+0.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.89Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.63Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.04Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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5.73Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.81George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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8.63U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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6.26Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.73Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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5.76Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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11.33Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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5.58Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.08Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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14.02Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
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14.32U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hunter Johnstone | 14.6% | 14.1% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 10.9% | 6.4% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.9% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 14.4% | 7.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 10.9% | 10.4% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.4% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 4.9% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 11.3% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Juan Perdomo | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 9.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.2% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 38.7% | 14.4% | 2.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.3% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 13.0% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 7.7% | 47.3% | 38.8% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 5.5% | 31.5% | 58.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.