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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.17vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.77+4.66vs Predicted
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3Princeton University1.09+8.27vs Predicted
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4Cornell University3.14+1.64vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy2.15+3.68vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+1.79vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College3.39-2.06vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.16-2.27vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.45-1.22vs Predicted
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10Yale University3.25-4.58vs Predicted
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11Fordham University3.11-5.17vs Predicted
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12Cornell University2.37-3.70vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.96-6.53vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.33+0.35vs Predicted
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15Columbia University-0.91-1.02vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.17Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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6.66George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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11.27Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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5.64Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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8.68U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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7.79Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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4.94Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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5.73Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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7.78Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.42Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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5.83Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.3Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.47Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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14.35U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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13.98Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 7.5% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 13.8% | 40.5% | 12.7% | 1.6% |
| Clark Uhl | 11.2% | 10.3% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 4.8% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 15.2% | 11.4% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| John Silvestri | 4.7% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 9.0% | 11.2% | 6.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.9% | 12.4% | 11.4% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 10.1% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.3% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.7% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 9.7% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.5% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.8% | 8.0% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Juan Perdomo | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 4.9% | 32.9% | 58.5% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 6.9% | 46.6% | 39.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.