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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.45+6.70vs Predicted
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2Cornell University3.14+3.58vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.16+2.56vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.96+2.21vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.11+0.93vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.45+1.82vs Predicted
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7Yale University3.25-1.66vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.77-1.17vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63-1.80vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.15-1.19vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.37-2.93vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College3.39-6.84vs Predicted
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13Princeton University1.09-1.55vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.91+0.02vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.68vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.7Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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5.58Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.56Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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6.21Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.93Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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7.82Salve Regina University2.450.0%1st Place
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5.34Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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6.83George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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7.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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8.81U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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8.07Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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5.16Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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11.45Princeton University1.090.0%1st Place
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14.02Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
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14.32U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Petno | 7.0% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.1% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 2.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 9.3% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 11.7% | 5.4% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 13.3% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 7.9% | 6.1% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.1% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.1% | 3.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Tyler Fleig | 4.1% | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 15.1% | 11.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 13.5% | 7.5% | 1.7% | 0.1% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 11.8% | 14.5% | 11.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Whitaker | 0.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 11.6% | 43.9% | 13.3% | 1.5% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 7.4% | 47.4% | 39.0% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 4.5% | 31.5% | 59.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.