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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.45+6.54vs Predicted
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2Fordham University3.11+3.62vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College3.39+1.82vs Predicted
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4Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+3.10vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.16+0.70vs Predicted
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6Cornell University3.14-0.39vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.45+0.57vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.37-0.08vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.96-2.89vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy2.15-1.41vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-5.61vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.91+1.84vs Predicted
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13George Washington University2.77-6.01vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.33-0.89vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-1.33-0.89vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.54Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.62Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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4.82Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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5.7Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
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5.61Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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7.57Dartmouth College2.450.1%1st Place
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7.92Cornell University2.370.0%1st Place
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6.11Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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8.59U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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5.39Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.84Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
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6.99George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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13.11Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.11U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Silvestri | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 3.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Connor Godfrey | 9.8% | 11.3% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 13.4% | 13.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Carter | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 2.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Roberto Stevens | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 11.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.1% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.9% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 4.4% | 6.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.5% | 14.4% | 3.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 8.3% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 6.4% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 3.8% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 19.1% | 6.0% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 11.5% | 13.7% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 3.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 19.8% | 39.4% | 34.4% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 1.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Fair | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 3.3% | 4.8% | 42.0% | 29.4% | 14.5% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 15.4% | 28.2% | 51.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.