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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.63+6.04vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.45+5.54vs Predicted
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3Fordham University3.11+2.63vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.15+4.47vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College3.39+0.02vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.45+1.74vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.37+0.91vs Predicted
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8George Washington University2.77-1.28vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.96-2.87vs Predicted
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10Cornell University3.14-4.30vs Predicted
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11Yale University3.25-5.59vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.91+1.82vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.33+0.18vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-1.33+0.15vs Predicted
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15Fordham University3.16-9.45vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.04Hobart and William Smith Colleges2.630.1%1st Place
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7.54Salve Regina University2.450.1%1st Place
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5.63Fordham University3.110.1%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy2.150.0%1st Place
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5.02Dartmouth College3.390.1%1st Place
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7.74Dartmouth College2.450.0%1st Place
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7.91Cornell University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.72George Washington University2.770.1%1st Place
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6.13Harvard University2.960.1%1st Place
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5.7Cornell University3.140.1%1st Place
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5.41Yale University3.250.1%1st Place
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13.82Columbia University-0.910.0%1st Place
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13.18Princeton University-0.330.0%1st Place
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14.15U. S. Military Academy-1.330.0%1st Place
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5.55Fordham University3.160.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bailey Carter | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 8.0% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| John Silvestri | 5.3% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 3.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Godfrey | 9.6% | 10.8% | 11.6% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tyler Fleig | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 10.7% | 12.6% | 20.7% | 4.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Johnstone | 14.1% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Petno | 4.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.7% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Luke Andersen | 5.7% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.6% | 13.8% | 4.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Adam DiDomizio | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Juan Perdomo | 8.8% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clark Uhl | 10.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 10.7% | 10.3% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 3.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Malcolm Lamphere | 10.7% | 14.0% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Catalina Feder | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 22.1% | 36.9% | 34.6% |
| Thomas Fair | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.3% | 39.7% | 32.4% | 14.2% |
| Charles Christianson | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 15.9% | 28.5% | 51.2% |
| Roberto Stevens | 11.8% | 10.5% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.