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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+6.95vs Predicted
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2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+5.78vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.43+3.34vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+2.49vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.60+3.83vs Predicted
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6Yale University3.05-1.36vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71-1.44vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.26vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.75-3.60vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.63-4.10vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.68-2.34vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-6.99vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.51-0.10vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-1.13vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.95Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.78Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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6.34Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.83George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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4.64Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.56Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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5.9Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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5.01Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.9Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.87Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.94U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 13.7% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 8.1% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 10.7% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.5% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 14.7% | 20.2% | 7.2% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 14.5% | 13.2% | 13.5% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 12.0% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 9.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.5% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.8% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 13.2% | 15.9% | 9.0% | 1.7% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 11.6% | 15.5% | 10.7% | 10.1% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 32.9% | 47.8% | 1.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 7.7% | 35.4% | 43.8% | 1.9% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 2.0% | 97.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.