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📊 Prediction Accuracy
40.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University1.60+7.68vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.43+4.30vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+1.55vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.38+2.49vs Predicted
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5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+2.95vs Predicted
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6Fordham University1.87+2.07vs Predicted
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7Salve Regina University2.63-1.24vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71-2.40vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.68-0.44vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-4.43vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.26vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.99-6.99vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-0.51-0.08vs Predicted
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14Columbia University-0.51-1.14vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.68George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.3Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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4.55Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
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6.49Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.95Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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8.07Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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5.76Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.6Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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8.56Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.74U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.01Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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12.92Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.86Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.94U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marie Line | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 13.8% | 18.0% | 7.4% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Thomas Balk | 7.3% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 15.6% | 14.3% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.1% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.1% | 1.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 13.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.4% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 12.1% | 12.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 10.9% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 10.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 12.5% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.1% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 11.8% | 12.5% | 16.5% | 6.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 9.5% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 7.4% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 12.5% | 14.1% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 4.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 6.2% | 33.5% | 48.1% | 0.9% |
| Haley Collins | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 7.0% | 35.6% | 44.1% | 1.9% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 2.1% | 97.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.