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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College1.36+6.01vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.10+4.24vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+2.97vs Predicted
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4Brown University1.69+2.19vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+3.93vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.42-3.05vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University1.31+0.30vs Predicted
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8Boston University-0.48+4.91vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.04vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.17-5.00vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.52+0.84vs Predicted
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12Tufts University0.54-2.84vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College0.44-2.42vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.12-3.06vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-2.17vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-4.79vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.97-1.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.01Boston College1.365.1%1st Place
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6.24Dartmouth College2.107.6%1st Place
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5.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.2%1st Place
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6.19Brown University1.698.8%1st Place
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8.93U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.814.1%1st Place
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2.95Yale University2.4229.4%1st Place
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7.3Roger Williams University1.315.2%1st Place
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12.91Boston University-0.480.9%1st Place
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7.96Northeastern University1.184.5%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University2.1713.5%1st Place
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11.84Connecticut College0.521.1%1st Place
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9.16Tufts University0.543.8%1st Place
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10.58Bowdoin College0.441.7%1st Place
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10.94University of Rhode Island0.122.3%1st Place
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12.83Maine Maritime Academy-0.481.0%1st Place
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11.21University of Vermont0.241.7%1st Place
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15.97Middlebury College-1.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sara Schumann | 5.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.6% | 8.3% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.2% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 4.1% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.5% |
| Carmen Cowles | 29.4% | 21.3% | 17.6% | 12.3% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 10.4% | 15.9% | 21.6% | 9.3% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.5% | 13.8% | 11.9% | 10.4% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 13.2% | 4.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 0.5% |
| Sophie Brett | 1.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 1.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 9.2% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 2.2% |
| Simone Ford | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 11.2% | 16.6% | 19.8% | 9.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 10.4% | 10.5% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 3.5% |
| Kate Adams | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 69.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.