Race 6B

troy-swetman

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Caleb Cunningham 24.1% 20.2% 18.9% 13.8% 10.5% 6.8% 4.0% 1.5% 0.1% 0.1%
Coleman Terrell 29.7% 24.3% 17.6% 14.5% 7.3% 3.9% 2.2% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
Mary Duncan 18.0% 18.8% 17.6% 17.6% 13.7% 7.7% 4.6% 1.7% 0.3% 0.0%
Stuart Conrad 4.9% 8.5% 11.1% 12.1% 13.0% 17.6% 14.2% 12.6% 5.1% 0.9%
Ryan Carden 7.8% 8.8% 10.4% 11.7% 13.9% 18.1% 15.0% 9.2% 4.1% 1.0%
Nicholas Kirk 7.0% 6.9% 8.6% 9.5% 14.6% 13.6% 15.1% 15.0% 7.7% 2.0%
Christopher Foster 4.1% 6.7% 8.3% 10.2% 13.4% 14.9% 17.2% 14.8% 9.0% 1.4%
Aly Gazzola 2.8% 3.8% 5.4% 6.2% 8.9% 9.7% 16.7% 22.9% 16.6% 7.0%
Caitlin Bezecny 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 2.5% 2.7% 4.5% 6.8% 12.4% 33.6% 33.9%
Patricia Boston 0.7% 0.8% 0.6% 1.9% 2.0% 3.2% 4.2% 9.5% 23.4% 53.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.