← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+6.75vs Predicted
-
2Salve Regina University2.63+3.71vs Predicted
-
3Dartmouth College1.68+5.49vs Predicted
-
4Yale University3.05+0.62vs Predicted
-
5Fordham University1.87+3.12vs Predicted
-
6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.71vs Predicted
-
7Cornell University2.43-0.65vs Predicted
-
8George Washington University1.60+0.80vs Predicted
-
9Harvard University2.75-3.56vs Predicted
-
10Cornell University2.38-3.36vs Predicted
-
11Dartmouth College2.99-6.10vs Predicted
-
12Fordham University2.71-6.21vs Predicted
-
13Columbia University-0.51-0.09vs Predicted
-
14Princeton University-0.51-1.16vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
7.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
-
5.71Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
-
8.49Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
-
4.62Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
-
8.12Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
-
6.71U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
-
6.35Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
-
8.8George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
-
5.44Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
-
6.64Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
-
4.9Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
-
5.79Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
-
12.91Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
12.84Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
-
14.94U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 6.4% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 11.8% | 11.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.0% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.5% | 16.3% | 6.5% | 1.2% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 15.7% | 14.8% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 12.8% | 14.0% | 4.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.4% | 6.4% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 9.5% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 9.8% | 14.5% | 19.0% | 8.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.1% | 9.9% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.2% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 13.9% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 8.5% | 10.2% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.8% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 6.2% | 32.3% | 48.9% | 1.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 5.9% | 36.4% | 43.7% | 1.9% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 97.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.