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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+6.74vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University2.63+3.67vs Predicted
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3Yale University3.05+1.56vs Predicted
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4U. S. Naval Academy2.33+2.64vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.75+0.57vs Predicted
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6Cornell University2.38+0.57vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.60+1.77vs Predicted
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8Fordham University2.71-2.43vs Predicted
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9Cornell University2.43-2.64vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.68-1.34vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.99-6.09vs Predicted
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12Fordham University1.87-3.70vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.51-0.08vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-1.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.74Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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5.67Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.56Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.57Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.57Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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8.77George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.57Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.36Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.66Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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4.91Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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8.3Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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12.92Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.84Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.94U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.0% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 15.0% | 14.2% | 13.0% | 11.8% | 10.6% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.2% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 11.7% | 9.7% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 3.9% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 15.0% | 17.7% | 7.7% | 1.5% | 0.1% |
| Matt Cappetta | 11.6% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.6% | 10.6% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 4.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 4.0% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 17.9% | 7.7% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 13.3% | 15.9% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 3.5% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 14.3% | 15.0% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 6.0% | 33.4% | 48.4% | 1.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 3.6% | 6.8% | 35.1% | 44.6% | 1.8% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 97.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.