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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+6.71vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+2.49vs Predicted
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3Fordham University2.71+2.48vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+3.95vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+1.60vs Predicted
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6Harvard University2.75-0.51vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-2.26vs Predicted
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8U. S. Naval Academy2.33-1.31vs Predicted
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9George Washington University1.60-0.27vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.63-4.15vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.43-4.62vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College1.68-3.24vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.51-0.39vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-1.71-0.38vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.71Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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4.49Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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5.48Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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7.95Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.6Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.49Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.74Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.73George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.85Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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6.38Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.76Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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12.61Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.62Princeton University-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.9U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 3.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 14.6% | 16.4% | 14.2% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 11.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.1% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 10.4% | 10.4% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 3.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.6% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.2% | 10.8% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 14.5% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.3% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 3.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 18.9% | 6.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.1% | 9.9% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.2% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 15.2% | 20.4% | 4.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 57.6% | 22.9% | 0.5% |
| Evan Wood | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 18.5% | 69.3% | 6.3% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 5.7% | 93.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.