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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Fordham University1.87+6.82vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.53vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.75+2.40vs Predicted
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4Yale University3.05+0.62vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+1.60vs Predicted
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6Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+1.89vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College2.99-2.19vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.43-1.59vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College1.68-0.54vs Predicted
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10George Washington University1.60-1.20vs Predicted
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11Salve Regina University2.63-5.15vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.51+0.69vs Predicted
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13Princeton University-1.71+0.68vs Predicted
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14U. S. Military Academy-4.31+0.91vs Predicted
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15Fordham University2.71-9.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.82Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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6.53U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.4Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.62Yale University3.050.1%1st Place
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6.6Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.89Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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4.81Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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6.41Cornell University2.430.1%1st Place
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8.46Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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8.8George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.85Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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12.69Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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13.68Princeton University-1.710.0%1st Place
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14.91U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
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5.52Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anders Ekholm | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.4% | 12.0% | 13.6% | 3.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 10.8% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 10.4% | 11.9% | 10.2% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 4.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 14.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.3% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 3.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 14.0% | 11.0% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Thomas Balk | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.2% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.1% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 17.7% | 4.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 3.3% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 9.4% | 10.6% | 15.1% | 21.4% | 5.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.5% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 60.7% | 22.7% | 0.8% |
| Evan Wood | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 17.2% | 71.2% | 6.0% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 1.3% | 5.3% | 93.2% |
| Matt Cappetta | 11.7% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.