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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+3.39vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.75+3.05vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+4.50vs Predicted
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4Fordham University1.87+3.67vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+1.31vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University2.63-0.47vs Predicted
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7Dartmouth College1.68+1.14vs Predicted
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8Cornell University1.03+1.97vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-4.50vs Predicted
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10Fordham University2.71-4.60vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy2.33-4.61vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.60-3.31vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.51-0.19vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-1.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
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5.05Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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7.5Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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7.67Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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6.31Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.53Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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8.14Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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9.97Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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4.5Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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5.4Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.39U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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8.69George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.81Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.71Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.94U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 16.9% | 15.7% | 12.8% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 12.4% | 13.3% | 11.7% | 12.0% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 5.3% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 11.8% | 12.1% | 7.4% | 3.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 11.7% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 9.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 3.5% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 4.7% | 5.2% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 11.2% | 13.5% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Robert Suriani | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 23.3% | 17.9% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Emma White | 14.6% | 13.8% | 14.6% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 9.9% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 14.6% | 16.6% | 6.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 29.7% | 47.7% | 1.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 3.2% | 3.4% | 10.1% | 30.7% | 43.6% | 1.7% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 97.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.