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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University3.05+3.39vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.33+4.21vs Predicted
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3Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+4.51vs Predicted
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4Cornell University1.03+5.94vs Predicted
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5Fordham University1.87+2.69vs Predicted
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6George Washington University1.60+2.47vs Predicted
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7Cornell University2.38-0.83vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.75-2.78vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.99-4.50vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.63-4.38vs Predicted
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11Fordham University2.71-5.66vs Predicted
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12Columbia University-0.51+0.85vs Predicted
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13Dartmouth College1.68-4.56vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-1.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.39Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
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6.21U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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7.51Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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9.94Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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7.69Fordham University1.870.0%1st Place
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8.47George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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6.17Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.22Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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4.5Dartmouth College2.990.2%1st Place
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5.62Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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5.34Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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12.85Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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8.44Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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12.72Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.93U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Casey Klingler | 15.8% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 14.6% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Christine Moloney | 5.4% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 11.5% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 2.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 25.5% | 15.1% | 4.9% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 4.7% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 4.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 3.2% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 13.4% | 14.6% | 12.8% | 5.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 9.3% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 3.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 12.3% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 15.3% | 12.8% | 14.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 9.7% | 9.8% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 9.9% | 13.5% | 9.9% | 12.7% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.6% | 6.9% | 8.9% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 7.6% | 32.7% | 46.4% | 1.3% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.4% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 12.3% | 15.0% | 13.5% | 5.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.6% | 9.5% | 30.7% | 43.5% | 1.8% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 96.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.