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📊 Prediction Accuracy
60.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92+6.47vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+2.29vs Predicted
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3Fordham University1.87+4.62vs Predicted
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4Salve Regina University2.63+1.49vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.99-0.37vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy2.33+0.37vs Predicted
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7Fordham University2.71-1.77vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.38-1.75vs Predicted
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9Cornell University1.03+0.98vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.75-4.74vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College1.68-2.74vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.60-3.30vs Predicted
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13Columbia University-0.51-0.21vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-1.28vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.47Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.1%1st Place
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4.29Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
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7.62Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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5.49Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.63Dartmouth College2.990.2%1st Place
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6.37U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.23Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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6.25Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.98Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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5.26Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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8.26Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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8.7George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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12.79Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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12.72Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.94U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christine Moloney | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 12.1% | 7.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 16.2% | 17.3% | 12.8% | 12.4% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 5.1% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 13.3% | 11.2% | 8.7% | 3.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sam Shannon | 10.6% | 10.8% | 11.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.8% | 10.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 15.1% | 14.1% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 7.0% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 3.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 12.2% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 8.0% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 10.1% | 8.1% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 6.2% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.8% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 24.2% | 15.0% | 3.5% | 0.2% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 12.8% | 13.7% | 5.6% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 14.5% | 16.6% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 7.8% | 29.1% | 47.9% | 0.9% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 9.3% | 32.9% | 42.5% | 1.8% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 97.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.