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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Mary Duncan 22.1% 16.7% 18.8% 15.0% 12.4% 8.2% 4.0% 2.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Caleb Cunningham 21.5% 22.4% 18.2% 14.4% 11.9% 6.8% 3.5% 1.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Coleman Terrell 27.9% 23.8% 19.6% 14.7% 8.0% 3.9% 1.5% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Christopher Foster 4.3% 6.9% 7.5% 11.1% 12.4% 14.9% 18.4% 15.2% 7.3% 2.0%
Aly Gazzola 3.3% 5.0% 4.7% 6.9% 8.0% 9.6% 14.3% 23.3% 18.5% 6.4%
Ryan Carden 8.8% 7.2% 10.6% 11.4% 15.7% 14.5% 16.1% 10.1% 4.4% 1.2%
Nicholas Kirk 4.2% 8.0% 8.0% 11.3% 13.3% 16.6% 15.7% 14.4% 7.0% 1.5%
Stuart Conrad 6.2% 8.2% 10.0% 11.2% 12.6% 18.1% 14.9% 12.6% 5.2% 1.0%
Patricia Boston 0.6% 0.6% 1.2% 1.5% 2.6% 2.5% 5.0% 8.2% 23.6% 54.2%
Caitlin Bezecny 1.1% 1.2% 1.4% 2.5% 3.1% 4.9% 6.6% 12.2% 33.4% 33.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.