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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+7.86vs Predicted
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2Harvard University2.17+2.97vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.42-0.11vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.31+3.22vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+1.39vs Predicted
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6Connecticut College0.52+5.51vs Predicted
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7Boston College1.36-0.02vs Predicted
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8Brown University1.69-1.94vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-0.92vs Predicted
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10Bowdoin College0.44+0.40vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.06vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island-0.20+0.31vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-0.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.48-1.15vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont0.24-3.99vs Predicted
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16Middlebury College-1.97-0.28vs Predicted
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17Tufts University0.54-7.91vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.86U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.813.6%1st Place
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4.97Harvard University2.1712.4%1st Place
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2.89Yale University2.4230.8%1st Place
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7.22Roger Williams University1.315.5%1st Place
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6.39Dartmouth College2.107.0%1st Place
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11.51Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
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6.98Boston College1.366.2%1st Place
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6.06Brown University1.698.0%1st Place
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8.08Northeastern University1.184.8%1st Place
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10.4Bowdoin College0.442.2%1st Place
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5.94Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.6%1st Place
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12.31University of Rhode Island-0.200.9%1st Place
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12.7Maine Maritime Academy-0.481.0%1st Place
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12.85Boston University-0.481.1%1st Place
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11.01University of Vermont0.242.1%1st Place
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15.72Middlebury College-1.970.4%1st Place
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9.09Tufts University0.542.9%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celia Houston | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 12.2% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carmen Cowles | 30.8% | 22.8% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sarah Young | 7.0% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 4.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 5.9% | 1.9% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.6% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 5.7% |
| Simone Ford | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 20.5% | 8.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 16.7% | 20.1% | 8.8% |
| Caitlin Derby | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% |
| Kate Adams | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 11.3% | 67.3% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.