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📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Salve Regina University2.63+4.40vs Predicted
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2Yale University3.05+2.28vs Predicted
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3U. S. Naval Academy2.33+3.30vs Predicted
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4Harvard University2.75+1.17vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.38+1.34vs Predicted
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6Dartmouth College2.99-1.46vs Predicted
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7Fordham University1.87+0.69vs Predicted
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8Columbia University-0.51+4.75vs Predicted
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9Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.92-1.45vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College1.68-1.67vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.60-2.52vs Predicted
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12Fordham University2.71-6.51vs Predicted
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13Cornell University1.03-2.95vs Predicted
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14Princeton University-0.51-1.29vs Predicted
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15U. S. Military Academy-4.31-0.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.4Salve Regina University2.630.1%1st Place
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4.28Yale University3.050.2%1st Place
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6.3U. S. Naval Academy2.330.1%1st Place
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5.17Harvard University2.750.1%1st Place
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6.34Cornell University2.380.1%1st Place
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4.54Dartmouth College2.990.1%1st Place
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7.69Fordham University1.870.1%1st Place
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12.75Columbia University-0.510.0%1st Place
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7.55Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.920.0%1st Place
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8.33Dartmouth College1.680.0%1st Place
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8.48George Washington University1.600.0%1st Place
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5.49Fordham University2.710.1%1st Place
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10.05Cornell University1.030.0%1st Place
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12.71Princeton University-0.510.0%1st Place
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14.93U. S. Military Academy-4.310.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Shannon | 11.6% | 10.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Casey Klingler | 15.8% | 17.6% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Hughes | 8.1% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nick Digiovanni | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 10.7% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alex Woloshyn | 7.8% | 9.1% | 6.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.6% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emma White | 13.7% | 13.9% | 14.1% | 11.8% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 7.9% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anders Ekholm | 6.0% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.5% | 13.5% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Haley Collins | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 5.0% | 7.6% | 30.6% | 45.8% | 1.7% |
| Christine Moloney | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 2.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Greason | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 10.7% | 6.3% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Marie Line | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 13.3% | 13.9% | 7.3% | 1.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Cappetta | 10.1% | 9.7% | 12.7% | 10.9% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Robert Suriani | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.7% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.8% | 14.5% | 26.3% | 15.2% | 4.7% | 0.1% |
| George Kevrekidis | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.9% | 10.6% | 30.3% | 43.2% | 1.7% |
| Nick Grant | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 2.4% | 96.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.