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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+9.52vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.89+4.78vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+4.08vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.49+4.33vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University4.36+0.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+2.74vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70+0.44vs Predicted
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8University of Virginia2.39+4.93vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.25+0.13vs Predicted
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10Cornell University2.35+2.82vs Predicted
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11Brown University3.48-2.70vs Predicted
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12Dartmouth College2.87-0.74vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.90-2.42vs Predicted
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14Boston University3.13-4.10vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College3.25-5.84vs Predicted
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16Duke University1.19+0.43vs Predicted
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17U. S. Naval Academy3.44-8.53vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.89-0.82vs Predicted
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19University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-9.28vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.52St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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6.78College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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7.08Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.33George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.21Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.74U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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12.93University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.13Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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12.82Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.3Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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11.26Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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10.58University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.9Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.16SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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16.43Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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8.47U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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17.18North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.72University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Edmund Cooper | 2.6% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.8% | 0.9% |
| Charles Rees | 9.8% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 10.0% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 13.3% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.3% | 10.1% | 6.9% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.2% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 10.2% | 14.9% | 12.6% | 3.5% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| William Crary | 4.0% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.3% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.5% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.3% | 5.1% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.6% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.9% | 9.7% | 27.3% | 34.6% |
| Michael Popp | 5.1% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 8.7% | 22.2% | 48.4% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.