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📊 Prediction Accuracy
21.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University4.36+4.08vs Predicted
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2U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39+6.76vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.87+7.94vs Predicted
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4Stanford University3.70+3.44vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+5.88vs Predicted
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6U. S. Naval Academy3.44+2.40vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89-0.28vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.35+5.12vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-2.17vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.90+0.70vs Predicted
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11Boston University3.13-1.24vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College3.25-2.37vs Predicted
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13Fordham University3.25-3.90vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.49-5.57vs Predicted
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15Brown University3.48-6.70vs Predicted
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16University of Virginia2.39-3.24vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.89+0.01vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-8.03vs Predicted
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19Duke University1.19-2.83vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.08Georgetown University4.360.1%1st Place
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8.76U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.94Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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7.44Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.88St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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8.4U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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6.72College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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13.12Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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6.83Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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10.7University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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9.76Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.63SUNY Maritime College3.250.0%1st Place
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9.1Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.43George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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8.3Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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12.76University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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17.01North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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9.97University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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16.17Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nevin Snow | 13.7% | 15.5% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 0.1% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 1.6% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Edmund Cooper | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 1.7% |
| Michael Popp | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 5.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Rees | 10.0% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schofield | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 15.2% | 13.9% | 5.4% |
| Esteban Forrer | 8.9% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.5% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% |
| William Crary | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Zachary Hill | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 6.6% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 6.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Christopher Craven | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 4.2% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 19.3% | 50.6% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 3.6% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 25.6% | 31.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.