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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1George Washington University3.49+7.28vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University4.36+3.11vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University3.82+4.12vs Predicted
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4University of Virginia2.39+8.79vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.25+4.53vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.13+3.70vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.89-0.26vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.73vs Predicted
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9SUNY Maritime College3.25+0.15vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.87+0.81vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.35+1.93vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-3.33vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.70-5.82vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara3.06-3.80vs Predicted
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15University of Vermont2.90-4.38vs Predicted
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16U. S. Naval Academy3.44-7.62vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-8.31vs Predicted
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18Duke University1.19-1.48vs Predicted
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19North Carolina State University0.89-2.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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8.28George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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5.11Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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7.12Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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12.79University of Virginia2.390.0%1st Place
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9.53Fordham University3.250.0%1st Place
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9.7Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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6.74College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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10.73St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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9.15SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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10.81Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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12.93Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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8.67Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.2University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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10.62University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.38U. S. Naval Academy3.440.1%1st Place
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8.69U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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16.52Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
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16.85North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Shanahan | 5.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.1% | 12.7% | 12.8% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.5% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Christopher Craven | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 11.3% | 14.3% | 11.3% | 4.5% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 1.2% |
| Charles Rees | 8.0% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 4.3% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 5.2% | 1.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 5.6% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 0.5% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 4.0% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 4.2% | 1.4% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 4.0% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.9% | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 4.6% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Antoine Screve | 8.4% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.3% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 3.4% | 0.7% |
| William Crary | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 1.5% |
| Michael Popp | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Charles Lomax | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.2% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 6.6% | 11.1% | 24.4% | 35.9% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 8.5% | 19.5% | 48.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.