← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida3.43+1.19vs Predicted
-
2University of Florida3.41+0.29vs Predicted
-
3Eckerd College2.47+0.38vs Predicted
-
4Rollins College1.48+0.69vs Predicted
-
5Florida Institute of Technology0.05+1.75vs Predicted
-
6University of South Florida1.93-1.89vs Predicted
-
7Eckerd College0.06-0.15vs Predicted
-
8Embry-Riddle University-0.50-0.46vs Predicted
-
10Jacksonville University-0.20-2.80vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.19University of South Florida3.430.4%1st Place
-
2.29University of Florida3.410.3%1st Place
-
3.38Eckerd College2.470.1%1st Place
-
4.69Rollins College1.480.1%1st Place
-
6.75Florida Institute of Technology0.050.0%1st Place
-
4.11University of South Florida1.930.1%1st Place
-
6.85Eckerd College0.060.0%1st Place
-
7.54Embry-Riddle University-0.500.0%1st Place
-
7.2Jacksonville University-0.200.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stephanie Reynolds | 35.7% | 29.5% | 21.5% | 7.9% | 4.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Heausler | 32.7% | 29.8% | 21.2% | 10.4% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Amy Baxter | 13.2% | 17.6% | 22.8% | 23.6% | 12.7% | 7.9% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Jonathon Norcross | 5.5% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 18.6% | 24.1% | 19.7% | 10.6% | 2.4% | 1.3% |
| Zach Kowalski | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 10.6% | 17.3% | 21.8% | 21.1% | 18.0% |
| Adam DePrimo | 8.4% | 9.5% | 15.4% | 23.8% | 23.4% | 13.6% | 4.3% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Duncan MacLeod | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 8.1% | 16.1% | 26.0% | 23.9% | 16.1% |
| Michael Mierswa | 1.0% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 9.6% | 15.9% | 24.3% | 38.3% |
| Kristoffer Bostic | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 13.6% | 19.2% | 26.7% | 25.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.