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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.76vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+4.23vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+1.96vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University1.31+3.18vs Predicted
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5Dartmouth College2.10+1.21vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81+3.00vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+4.66vs Predicted
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8Bowdoin College0.44+2.43vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University1.18-1.08vs Predicted
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10Tufts University0.54-0.75vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-5.01vs Predicted
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12Boston College1.36-5.07vs Predicted
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13Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-0.27vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island-0.20-1.94vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.48-2.33vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.24-4.77vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.97-1.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.76Yale University2.4231.4%1st Place
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6.23Brown University1.698.2%1st Place
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4.96Harvard University2.1713.3%1st Place
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7.18Roger Williams University1.316.0%1st Place
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6.21Dartmouth College2.107.5%1st Place
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9.0U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.812.6%1st Place
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11.66Connecticut College0.521.5%1st Place
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10.43Bowdoin College0.442.1%1st Place
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7.92Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
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9.25Tufts University0.543.2%1st Place
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5.99Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.3%1st Place
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6.93Boston College1.366.5%1st Place
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12.73Maine Maritime Academy-0.481.4%1st Place
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12.06University of Rhode Island-0.201.3%1st Place
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12.67Boston University-0.481.1%1st Place
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11.23University of Vermont0.241.1%1st Place
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15.8Middlebury College-1.970.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 31.4% | 23.8% | 17.6% | 10.8% | 7.0% | 4.3% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 8.2% | 8.5% | 9.5% | 8.6% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 13.3% | 12.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 7.5% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.8% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Celia Houston | 2.6% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 4.8% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.5% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Maisie MacGillivray | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 9.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.3% | 9.8% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Simone Ford | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 11.4% | 16.6% | 18.9% | 9.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 11.9% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 5.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 8.9% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 3.1% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 2.9% |
| Kate Adams | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 5.9% | 12.8% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.