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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.89+5.58vs Predicted
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2University of California at Santa Barbara3.06+7.92vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University4.36+2.05vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.87+6.69vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.44+3.62vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College3.25+3.05vs Predicted
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7Stanford University3.70+0.31vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.96+2.54vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University3.82-2.29vs Predicted
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10U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.39-1.51vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont2.90-0.48vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.48-3.47vs Predicted
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13Boston University3.13-3.63vs Predicted
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14Fordham University3.25-4.73vs Predicted
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15George Washington University3.49-6.89vs Predicted
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16Cornell University2.35-3.42vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.31-1.22vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.89-1.09vs Predicted
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19Duke University1.19-3.03vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.58College of Charleston3.890.1%1st Place
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9.92University of California at Santa Barbara3.060.0%1st Place
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5.05Georgetown University4.360.2%1st Place
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10.69Dartmouth College2.870.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Naval Academy3.440.0%1st Place
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9.05SUNY Maritime College3.250.1%1st Place
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7.31Stanford University3.700.1%1st Place
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10.54St. Mary's College of Maryland2.960.0%1st Place
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6.71Old Dominion University3.820.1%1st Place
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8.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy3.390.1%1st Place
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10.52University of Vermont2.900.0%1st Place
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8.53Brown University3.480.1%1st Place
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9.37Boston University3.130.0%1st Place
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9.27Fordham University3.250.1%1st Place
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8.11George Washington University3.490.1%1st Place
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12.58Cornell University2.350.0%1st Place
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15.78University of Virginia1.310.0%1st Place
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16.91North Carolina State University0.890.0%1st Place
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15.97Duke University1.190.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Rees | 7.8% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kristopher Swanson | 4.6% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 2.4% | 0.0% |
| Nevin Snow | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nathaniel Johansson | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.5% | 3.4% | 1.0% |
| Michael Popp | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Zachary Hill | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Antoine Screve | 7.7% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Edmund Cooper | 3.8% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Esteban Forrer | 9.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 10.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Charles Lomax | 6.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 6.4% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.5% |
| William Crary | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 3.0% | 0.8% |
| Patrick Shanahan | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Cook | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 8.9% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Alecsander Tayler | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.4% | 0.0% |
| Brendan Shanahan | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 3.0% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Matthew Schofield | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 10.5% | 12.9% | 8.8% | 3.6% |
| Julia Gowell | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 24.2% | 24.3% |
| Mark Thompson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 11.4% | 22.6% | 41.0% |
| Vincent Miao | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 15.3% | 23.5% | 26.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.