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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University3.01+8.06vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy3.63+4.69vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+4.36vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+3.03vs Predicted
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5College of Charleston3.84+1.04vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.03vs Predicted
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7SUNY Maritime College2.69+3.46vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.91+1.72vs Predicted
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9Boston University3.42-1.72vs Predicted
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10Dartmouth College2.75+0.09vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+2.04vs Predicted
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12George Washington University3.41-4.27vs Predicted
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13University of Virginia1.63+1.20vs Predicted
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14Stanford University3.44-6.52vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.20vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.85+0.57vs Predicted
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17Duke University1.25-1.55vs Predicted
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18University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-7.84vs Predicted
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19Cornell University1.71-5.20vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.06Brown University3.010.0%1st Place
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6.69U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.36Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.03Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.04College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.03University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.46SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.72Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.28Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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10.09Dartmouth College2.750.0%1st Place
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13.04U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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7.73George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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14.2University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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7.48Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.8St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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16.57North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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15.45Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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10.16University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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13.8Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 3.8% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.4% |
| Gary Prieto | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Sean Golden | 8.9% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 8.2% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jack Cusick | 9.8% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 6.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.3% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.2% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.3% |
| Joseph David | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 0.8% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Erik Weis | 4.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 0.5% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 5.9% |
| Kai Friesecke | 6.8% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 16.0% | 13.1% |
| Axel Sly | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 6.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% |
| Kara Wheeler | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 10.5% | 18.4% | 42.6% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 1.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 7.7% | 13.5% | 22.0% | 24.3% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.3% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.0% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 9.5% | 12.3% | 13.8% | 13.7% | 9.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.