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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.0
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.63vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.75+8.02vs Predicted
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3Boston University3.42+4.51vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+3.45vs Predicted
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5University of Vermont2.99+4.38vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.18vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.91+2.51vs Predicted
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8Fordham University3.52-0.77vs Predicted
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9Stanford University3.44-1.82vs Predicted
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10Georgetown University3.47-2.95vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02+1.91vs Predicted
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12Duke University1.25+3.56vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.84-7.36vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.71+0.03vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05-6.18vs Predicted
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16University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-5.94vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.63-2.90vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-0.24+0.13vs Predicted
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19Brown University3.01-10.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.02Dartmouth College2.750.0%1st Place
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7.51Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.45George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.38University of Vermont2.990.0%1st Place
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10.18SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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9.51Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.23Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.18Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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7.05Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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12.91U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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15.56Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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5.64College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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14.03Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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8.82St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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10.06University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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14.1University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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18.13North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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8.62Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 8.3% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 4.0% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.1% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.3% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 3.3% | 0.4% |
| Joseph David | 4.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Will Holz | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Axel Sly | 8.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.3% | 10.1% | 13.1% | 13.2% | 9.6% | 2.4% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 9.7% | 15.3% | 29.9% | 13.9% |
| Jack Cusick | 12.5% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 17.7% | 15.9% | 4.7% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 3.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 9.3% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 17.1% | 6.2% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 13.1% | 71.5% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.9% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.