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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.64vs Predicted
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2Brown University3.01+7.07vs Predicted
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3Stanford University3.44+4.41vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland3.05+4.85vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University3.47+2.41vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.69+4.22vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston3.84-1.18vs Predicted
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8Old Dominion University2.91+1.68vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.75+0.87vs Predicted
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10Fordham University3.52-3.10vs Predicted
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11George Washington University3.41-3.61vs Predicted
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12University of Virginia1.63+2.49vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.99-4.09vs Predicted
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14U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-1.01vs Predicted
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15University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-4.89vs Predicted
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16Duke University1.25-0.74vs Predicted
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17Cornell University1.71-3.18vs Predicted
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18Boston University3.42-10.77vs Predicted
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19North Carolina State University-0.24-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.64U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.07Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.41Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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8.85St. Mary's College of Maryland3.050.1%1st Place
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7.41Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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10.22SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.82College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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9.87Dartmouth College2.750.1%1st Place
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6.9Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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7.39George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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14.49University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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8.91University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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12.99U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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10.11University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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15.26Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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13.82Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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7.23Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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17.94North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 8.2% | 10.4% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 8.8% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Carolyn Smith | 5.7% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 3.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 7.3% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.4% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 0.5% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.2% | 11.2% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joseph David | 5.1% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 0.2% |
| Erik Weis | 5.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% |
| Will Holz | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 6.6% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Singh | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 13.3% | 17.0% | 19.8% | 7.2% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Austin Neuman | 2.7% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 13.6% | 10.5% | 3.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 17.9% | 27.0% | 11.4% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 14.0% | 15.6% | 16.6% | 5.0% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.1% | 7.2% | 9.2% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 11.7% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.