← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Harvard University2.17+3.91vs Predicted
-
2Brown University1.69+4.26vs Predicted
-
3Yale University2.42-0.17vs Predicted
-
4Boston College1.36+2.94vs Predicted
-
5Northeastern University1.18+2.88vs Predicted
-
6Tufts University0.93+3.17vs Predicted
-
7Dartmouth College2.10-0.67vs Predicted
-
8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63-2.16vs Predicted
-
9Roger Williams University1.31-1.92vs Predicted
-
10University of Rhode Island-0.20+1.97vs Predicted
-
11Bowdoin College0.44-0.63vs Predicted
-
12U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-3.11vs Predicted
-
13Connecticut College0.52-1.60vs Predicted
-
14Maine Maritime Academy-0.48-1.25vs Predicted
-
15Boston University-0.48-2.43vs Predicted
-
16University of Vermont-0.05-4.02vs Predicted
-
17Middlebury College-1.97-1.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.91Harvard University2.1712.5%1st Place
-
6.26Brown University1.697.6%1st Place
-
2.83Yale University2.4231.8%1st Place
-
6.94Boston College1.366.8%1st Place
-
7.88Northeastern University1.184.2%1st Place
-
9.17Tufts University0.933.4%1st Place
-
6.33Dartmouth College2.107.6%1st Place
-
5.84Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.639.5%1st Place
-
7.08Roger Williams University1.315.6%1st Place
-
11.97University of Rhode Island-0.201.2%1st Place
-
10.37Bowdoin College0.442.0%1st Place
-
8.89U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.813.5%1st Place
-
11.4Connecticut College0.521.7%1st Place
-
12.75Maine Maritime Academy-0.480.7%1st Place
-
12.57Boston University-0.480.9%1st Place
-
11.98University of Vermont-0.050.9%1st Place
-
15.83Middlebury College-1.970.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.5% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 11.7% | 8.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Carmen Cowles | 31.8% | 22.9% | 16.1% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.8% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Sarah Young | 7.6% | 9.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.0% | 3.3% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Brock | 9.5% | 10.4% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 3.5% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.6% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 5.2% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Celia Houston | 3.5% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 4.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 3.5% |
| Simone Ford | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 15.7% | 20.1% | 8.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 12.1% | 15.2% | 17.6% | 7.8% |
| Ella Towner | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.6% | 14.3% | 6.0% |
| Kate Adams | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 6.8% | 10.8% | 66.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.