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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1College of Charleston3.84+4.77vs Predicted
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2Stanford University3.44+5.38vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.75+7.14vs Predicted
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4Fordham University3.52+2.93vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy3.63+1.73vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.00vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.91+2.45vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.47-0.65vs Predicted
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9Brown University3.01-0.20vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-0.95vs Predicted
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11University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-0.82vs Predicted
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12Boston University3.42-4.37vs Predicted
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13Duke University1.25+2.09vs Predicted
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14George Washington University3.41-6.49vs Predicted
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15SUNY Maritime College2.69-4.82vs Predicted
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16Cornell University1.71-2.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-4.19vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University-0.24+0.15vs Predicted
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19University of Virginia1.63-5.10vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.77College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.38Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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10.14Dartmouth College2.750.0%1st Place
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6.93Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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6.73U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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9.0University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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9.45Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
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7.35Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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8.8Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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10.18University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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7.63Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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15.09Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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7.51George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.18SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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13.95Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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12.81U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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18.15North Carolina State University-0.240.0%1st Place
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13.9University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Cusick | 11.7% | 12.2% | 11.1% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 8.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erik Weis | 4.1% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| Will Holz | 8.8% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.7% | 5.4% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gary Prieto | 7.9% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.5% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 1.7% | 0.3% |
| Joseph David | 5.0% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Sean Golden | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.0% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.1% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sterling Henken | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Hannah Polster | 7.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.5% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 14.8% | 29.2% | 10.6% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Kyle Comerford | 4.3% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 3.1% | 0.5% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.2% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 17.1% | 16.3% | 6.1% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.9% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 13.1% | 1.9% |
| Matthew Dockstader | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 11.7% | 72.9% |
| Alexander Singh | 2.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.