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📊 Prediction Accuracy
31.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1SUNY Maritime College2.69+9.37vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston3.84+3.94vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University3.47+4.32vs Predicted
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4George Washington University3.41+3.49vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.91+4.68vs Predicted
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6Boston University3.42+1.36vs Predicted
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7U. S. Naval Academy3.63-0.37vs Predicted
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8University of California at Santa Barbara2.72+2.50vs Predicted
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9Fordham University3.52-2.13vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.99-0.94vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-0.94vs Predicted
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12Brown University3.01-2.66vs Predicted
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13Stanford University3.44-5.91vs Predicted
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14Cornell University1.71+0.20vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-5.95vs Predicted
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16U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-3.10vs Predicted
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17University of Virginia1.63-2.73vs Predicted
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18North Carolina State University0.85-1.38vs Predicted
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19Duke University1.25-3.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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10.37SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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5.94College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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7.32Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.49George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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9.68Old Dominion University2.910.0%1st Place
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7.36Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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6.63U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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10.5University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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6.87Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.06University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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10.06Dartmouth College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.34Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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7.09Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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14.2Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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9.05St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.1%1st Place
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12.9U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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14.27University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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16.62North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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15.24Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Comerford | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 1.1% |
| Jack Cusick | 12.3% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 4.9% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sean Golden | 8.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.3% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Joseph David | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.5% | 8.0% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Gary Prieto | 8.9% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.6% |
| Will Holz | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% |
| Erik Weis | 3.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 0.6% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.3% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 4.5% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Axel Sly | 8.0% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 5.0% | 5.9% | 3.8% | 2.9% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 11.7% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 5.7% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 11.9% | 11.1% | 11.7% | 5.3% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 17.8% | 14.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 7.8% | 10.9% | 18.6% | 40.7% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 1.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 19.2% | 23.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.