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📊 Prediction Accuracy
36.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
19
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1U. S. Naval Academy3.63+5.62vs Predicted
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2George Washington University3.41+5.49vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.69+7.53vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.47+3.21vs Predicted
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5Fordham University3.52+2.20vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.99+3.08vs Predicted
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7Boston University3.42+0.43vs Predicted
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8Stanford University3.44-0.39vs Predicted
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9University of Virginia1.63+5.15vs Predicted
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10Brown University3.01-0.97vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College2.75-0.82vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland2.98-2.45vs Predicted
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13College of Charleston3.84-7.39vs Predicted
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14University of California at Santa Barbara2.72-3.59vs Predicted
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15Cornell University1.71-1.10vs Predicted
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16Duke University1.25-0.51vs Predicted
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17North Carolina State University0.85-0.56vs Predicted
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18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.02-5.00vs Predicted
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19Old Dominion University2.91-9.93vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.62U. S. Naval Academy3.630.1%1st Place
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7.49George Washington University3.410.1%1st Place
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10.53SUNY Maritime College2.690.0%1st Place
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7.21Georgetown University3.470.1%1st Place
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7.2Fordham University3.520.1%1st Place
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9.08University of Vermont2.990.1%1st Place
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7.43Boston University3.420.1%1st Place
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7.61Stanford University3.440.1%1st Place
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14.15University of Virginia1.630.0%1st Place
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9.03Brown University3.010.1%1st Place
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10.18Dartmouth College2.750.0%1st Place
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9.55St. Mary's College of Maryland2.980.0%1st Place
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5.61College of Charleston3.840.1%1st Place
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10.41University of California at Santa Barbara2.720.0%1st Place
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13.9Cornell University1.710.0%1st Place
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15.49Duke University1.250.0%1st Place
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16.44North Carolina State University0.850.0%1st Place
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13.0U. S. Merchant Marine Academy2.020.0%1st Place
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9.07Old Dominion University2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gary Prieto | 9.5% | 9.9% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Kai Friesecke | 7.9% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
| Kyle Comerford | 3.6% | 5.2% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 2.9% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Sean Golden | 9.3% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Will Holz | 6.3% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Megan Yeigh | 5.3% | 6.2% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Hannah Polster | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.3% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Axel Sly | 8.3% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Alexander Singh | 1.1% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.6% | 16.3% | 12.3% |
| Gabriel Elstrodt | 5.4% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Erik Weis | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 0.7% |
| Jonathan Lutz | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Jack Cusick | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.4% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sterling Henken | 4.8% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% |
| Daniel Birmingham | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 13.5% | 15.8% | 12.2% |
| Elizabeth O'Connor | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 20.9% | 24.0% |
| Kara Wheeler | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 6.0% | 11.4% | 18.5% | 40.6% |
| Austin Neuman | 1.7% | 1.0% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 11.2% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 6.3% |
| Joseph David | 6.0% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.