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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Connecticut College3.23+4.61vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+7.03vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72+4.44vs Predicted
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4Roger Williams University2.97+2.57vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.72+2.55vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.74+1.39vs Predicted
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7Boston University2.51+1.17vs Predicted
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8Tufts University2.90-1.09vs Predicted
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9Northeastern University2.16+0.46vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-3.29vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-3.72vs Predicted
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12Harvard University2.38-3.05vs Predicted
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13Bowdoin College2.80-5.53vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-4.72vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.24-2.81vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.61Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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9.03Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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6.57Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.55University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.39Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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8.17Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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6.91Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.46Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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6.71University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.28Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.95Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.47Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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9.28Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.19University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Kopp | 12.1% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 3.6% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.7% | 1.1% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 11.5% | 9.7% | 8.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.2% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.9% |
| Kendal Richardson | 10.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 1.7% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 7.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 2.7% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.8% | 6.8% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 1.7% |
| Alex Moreno | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 4.9% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 5.8% |
| James Moody | 8.7% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 3.8% | 1.6% |
| Peter Christensen | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 12.8% | 8.7% |
| Amina Brown | 8.2% | 6.9% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 3.7% | 0.9% |
| Sam Alexander | 6.9% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 3.0% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 10.8% | 6.8% |
| Matthew Lyons | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 2.5% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.0% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 9.0% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 43.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.