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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.42+1.84vs Predicted
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2Brown University1.69+4.12vs Predicted
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3Harvard University2.17+2.00vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.10+2.23vs Predicted
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5Tufts University0.93+4.05vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.63+0.08vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.52+4.46vs Predicted
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8Boston College1.36-1.05vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College0.44+1.42vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University1.31-2.81vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.81-2.29vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.48+0.75vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University1.18-5.30vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.48-1.43vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island-0.20-2.91vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont-0.05-3.98vs Predicted
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17Middlebury College-1.97-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.84Yale University2.4229.8%1st Place
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6.12Brown University1.697.3%1st Place
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5.0Harvard University2.1711.5%1st Place
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6.23Dartmouth College2.108.2%1st Place
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9.05Tufts University0.933.2%1st Place
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6.08Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.638.4%1st Place
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11.46Connecticut College0.521.8%1st Place
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6.95Boston College1.366.9%1st Place
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10.42Bowdoin College0.442.8%1st Place
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7.19Roger Williams University1.315.6%1st Place
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8.71U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.813.9%1st Place
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12.75Maine Maritime Academy-0.481.2%1st Place
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7.7Northeastern University1.185.2%1st Place
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12.57Boston University-0.481.5%1st Place
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12.09University of Rhode Island-0.201.3%1st Place
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12.02University of Vermont-0.051.2%1st Place
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15.79Middlebury College-1.970.3%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmen Cowles | 29.8% | 23.8% | 17.0% | 12.2% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine McNamara | 7.3% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.5% | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.2% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sarah Young | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Haley Andreasen | 3.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Lucy Brock | 8.4% | 9.7% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.6% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 3.5% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Izzy Wu-Karr | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 10.8% | 3.2% |
| Sara Schumann | 6.9% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Brett | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 11.1% | 10.9% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 6.0% | 1.4% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Celia Houston | 3.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.1% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Simone Ford | 1.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 16.3% | 19.5% | 8.2% |
| Lucia Loosbrock | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 6.7% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 7.5% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 8.5% |
| Emaline Ouellette | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 14.2% | 14.2% | 6.5% |
| Ella Towner | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 13.8% | 5.4% |
| Kate Adams | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 6.9% | 12.2% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.