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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+6.28vs Predicted
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2University of Rhode Island2.72+5.27vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+6.14vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80+3.16vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+1.94vs Predicted
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6Roger Williams University2.97+0.63vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College3.23-1.28vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.51+0.26vs Predicted
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9Salve Regina University2.21+0.27vs Predicted
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10Harvard University2.38-1.18vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.79-3.82vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont2.96-5.16vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University2.16-3.26vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-1.71vs Predicted
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15Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-7.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.28Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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7.27University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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9.14Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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7.16Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.94Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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5.72Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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8.26Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.27Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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8.82Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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7.18Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.84University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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9.74Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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12.29University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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7.46Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 7.9% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 2.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.4% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 7.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.5% | 8.1% | 6.5% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.5% |
| James Moody | 8.1% | 9.8% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% |
| Kendal Richardson | 9.0% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 1.2% |
| Bryce Kopp | 12.9% | 9.6% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 4.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.5% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 8.1% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 6.4% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.9% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Amina Brown | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 1.4% |
| Peter Christensen | 3.4% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.3% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.6% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 13.1% | 44.2% |
| Joseph Paggi | 7.0% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.