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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.74+6.33vs Predicted
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2Tufts University2.90+4.67vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24+6.16vs Predicted
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4Connecticut College3.23+1.66vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.79+2.34vs Predicted
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6University of Vermont2.96+0.58vs Predicted
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7Bowdoin College2.80+0.13vs Predicted
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8Roger Williams University2.97-1.37vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.38-0.34vs Predicted
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10Salve Regina University2.21-0.63vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.51vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.16-2.22vs Predicted
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13University of Rhode Island2.72-5.25vs Predicted
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14University of New Hampshire1.24-1.76vs Predicted
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15Boston University2.51-6.78vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.33Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.67Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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9.16Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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5.66Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.34Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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6.58University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.13Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.63Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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8.66Harvard University2.380.0%1st Place
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9.37Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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7.49Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.78Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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7.75University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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12.24University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
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8.22Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Drake Lyon | 8.1% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% |
| James Moody | 8.1% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.1% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 7.6% |
| Bryce Kopp | 12.5% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Sam Alexander | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.5% |
| Amina Brown | 9.4% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 1.8% |
| Kendal Richardson | 8.1% | 10.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.3% |
| Dylan Farrell | 4.8% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 5.3% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.5% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.6% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 6.4% | 2.8% |
| Peter Christensen | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 12.8% | 11.9% |
| Patrick Isherwood | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 5.0% | 2.8% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 13.1% | 43.3% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.8% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 7.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 4.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.