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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island2.72+6.42vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.74+5.19vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.97+3.53vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.80+3.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University2.90+1.97vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.79+1.24vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.38+1.63vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University2.16+1.49vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.23-3.37vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont2.96-3.27vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.72-3.45vs Predicted
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12Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.24-2.52vs Predicted
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13Boston University2.51-4.48vs Predicted
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14Salve Regina University2.21-4.69vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.24-2.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.42University of Rhode Island2.720.1%1st Place
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7.19Boston College2.740.1%1st Place
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6.53Roger Williams University2.970.1%1st Place
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7.17Bowdoin College2.800.1%1st Place
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6.97Tufts University2.900.1%1st Place
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7.24Brown University2.790.1%1st Place
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8.63Harvard University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.49Northeastern University2.160.0%1st Place
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5.63Connecticut College3.230.1%1st Place
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6.73University of Vermont2.960.1%1st Place
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7.55Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.720.1%1st Place
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9.48Massachusetts Maritime Academy2.240.0%1st Place
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8.52Boston University2.510.1%1st Place
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9.31Salve Regina University2.210.0%1st Place
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12.14University of New Hampshire1.240.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patrick Isherwood | 7.6% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.7% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 4.0% |
| Drake Lyon | 7.4% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 5.8% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 2.0% |
| Kendal Richardson | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% | 1.3% |
| Matthew Lyons | 8.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 6.2% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 2.4% |
| James Moody | 8.3% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 1.2% |
| Sam Alexander | 7.5% | 8.0% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.7% |
| Dylan Farrell | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 7.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 8.3% | 6.2% |
| Peter Christensen | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 12.4% | 10.5% |
| Bryce Kopp | 11.5% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Amina Brown | 7.6% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| Joseph Paggi | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 4.4% | 4.2% |
| Frank Reeg | 4.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 5.9% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 12.0% | 9.3% |
| Alex Moreno | 5.7% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.1% |
| Sean Beaulieu | 3.8% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 8.8% |
| Ryan Gershuny | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 13.3% | 41.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.