Race 10A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

40.0%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Kendal Richardson 9.1% 9.6% 8.4% 9.8% 8.6% 7.8% 7.4% 7.3% 7.4% 5.3% 4.8% 5.6% 4.2% 2.0% 2.7%
Joseph Paggi 6.6% 7.8% 8.7% 5.4% 9.4% 7.4% 7.7% 6.7% 7.2% 7.3% 7.0% 5.2% 6.0% 5.3% 2.3%
Sean Beaulieu 4.5% 4.3% 5.1% 4.7% 5.3% 5.3% 5.6% 5.2% 6.9% 7.0% 5.4% 10.7% 11.2% 10.6% 8.2%
Bryce Kopp 12.0% 12.6% 10.7% 10.3% 7.5% 7.1% 8.7% 8.2% 5.7% 4.4% 4.7% 3.3% 2.2% 1.9% 0.7%
Alex Moreno 6.7% 5.6% 4.8% 6.5% 6.2% 6.3% 7.5% 5.5% 6.5% 7.7% 8.5% 7.7% 7.6% 7.9% 5.0%
Dylan Farrell 4.8% 5.4% 5.2% 5.1% 4.7% 5.6% 7.4% 7.2% 6.5% 8.5% 8.8% 8.3% 8.1% 8.6% 5.8%
James Moody 9.6% 7.3% 8.2% 7.8% 8.2% 8.6% 8.1% 8.8% 6.8% 6.3% 5.5% 4.7% 4.8% 3.8% 1.5%
Drake Lyon 8.2% 6.2% 7.8% 7.1% 6.7% 8.4% 6.1% 7.9% 7.8% 5.8% 8.1% 5.8% 6.9% 4.0% 3.2%
Matthew Lyons 7.3% 6.4% 9.2% 6.9% 7.8% 9.4% 7.3% 8.9% 6.9% 6.4% 7.0% 6.2% 5.7% 3.5% 1.1%
Frank Reeg 4.0% 3.8% 4.1% 6.5% 5.0% 5.1% 5.7% 4.9% 7.5% 7.4% 6.9% 9.9% 8.6% 11.8% 8.8%
Amina Brown 7.8% 10.9% 9.2% 8.7% 8.3% 7.3% 6.5% 6.3% 7.3% 6.0% 5.9% 5.1% 5.6% 3.5% 1.6%
Ryan Gershuny 1.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.6% 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 3.3% 2.4% 4.7% 4.7% 6.4% 6.6% 14.7% 45.7%
Patrick Isherwood 6.7% 6.4% 5.8% 7.5% 7.3% 6.1% 6.9% 6.7% 7.6% 9.6% 7.8% 6.3% 7.3% 5.3% 2.7%
Sam Alexander 7.3% 8.3% 7.1% 7.0% 9.1% 7.7% 6.9% 8.4% 6.8% 6.8% 7.8% 5.5% 5.4% 4.1% 1.8%
Peter Christensen 4.0% 4.2% 4.5% 5.1% 4.4% 5.9% 5.6% 4.7% 6.7% 6.8% 7.1% 9.3% 9.8% 13.0% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.