Race 11A

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

28.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
James Moody 8.9% 10.1% 9.7% 8.8% 8.1% 8.7% 8.4% 7.5% 7.0% 6.3% 5.1% 5.2% 4.0% 2.2%
Bryce Kopp 14.5% 12.6% 11.1% 10.3% 9.8% 7.3% 8.4% 8.3% 6.7% 4.0% 2.5% 2.6% 1.2% 0.7%
Frank Reeg 5.0% 5.0% 4.9% 5.5% 6.5% 4.5% 5.3% 6.1% 7.0% 8.3% 10.6% 11.1% 11.7% 8.5%
Sean Beaulieu 4.1% 4.8% 4.5% 5.4% 6.2% 5.9% 6.4% 5.9% 6.8% 9.1% 8.6% 10.8% 12.8% 8.7%
Patrick Isherwood 6.7% 7.0% 7.6% 9.1% 7.8% 7.7% 6.4% 8.1% 7.7% 8.7% 7.6% 7.1% 5.1% 3.4%
Amina Brown 9.0% 9.2% 9.7% 9.0% 8.9% 8.7% 8.1% 7.7% 7.7% 6.1% 5.1% 5.2% 3.9% 1.7%
Matthew Lyons 8.9% 9.2% 8.9% 9.0% 7.0% 8.6% 8.1% 7.8% 8.1% 6.8% 6.2% 5.5% 4.5% 1.4%
Peter Christensen 4.7% 4.9% 5.2% 4.3% 5.6% 5.9% 5.6% 5.7% 7.0% 8.7% 9.4% 9.8% 11.0% 12.2%
Alex Moreno 6.1% 5.2% 7.1% 4.9% 7.1% 7.1% 8.4% 8.6% 7.8% 7.8% 8.9% 8.8% 7.6% 4.6%
Drake Lyon 7.3% 7.1% 6.4% 9.2% 7.9% 8.1% 8.9% 6.6% 7.8% 7.9% 7.1% 9.2% 4.0% 2.5%
Dylan Farrell 5.6% 5.0% 5.5% 6.3% 5.5% 7.5% 5.8% 7.7% 7.8% 7.5% 10.2% 8.5% 9.7% 7.4%
Sam Alexander 7.8% 7.3% 9.2% 8.5% 8.3% 8.5% 8.1% 7.9% 6.5% 7.2% 7.0% 5.7% 5.4% 2.6%
Kendal Richardson 10.0% 10.9% 7.9% 8.3% 8.7% 9.1% 9.7% 7.7% 7.0% 6.0% 5.9% 4.0% 3.5% 1.3%
Ryan Gershuny 1.4% 1.7% 2.3% 1.4% 2.6% 2.4% 2.4% 4.4% 5.1% 5.6% 5.8% 6.5% 15.6% 42.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.