Race 12A

oberg

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sean Beaulieu 4.4% 4.1% 5.6% 5.8% 6.2% 6.5% 6.0% 6.8% 7.7% 7.8% 8.8% 10.7% 11.1% 8.5%
Amina Brown 10.9% 10.5% 10.2% 9.3% 6.8% 8.4% 8.9% 9.0% 6.7% 5.8% 5.1% 4.2% 2.7% 1.5%
Bryce Kopp 13.3% 12.9% 11.9% 8.9% 10.9% 7.4% 8.4% 6.0% 5.8% 5.8% 4.2% 2.9% 0.9% 0.7%
Sam Alexander 7.2% 7.8% 8.9% 8.3% 7.9% 9.1% 7.5% 7.4% 6.7% 7.7% 8.3% 5.5% 4.6% 3.1%
Matthew Lyons 6.5% 8.9% 8.1% 9.7% 7.9% 7.6% 6.9% 7.8% 6.8% 8.1% 8.5% 5.6% 5.0% 2.6%
James Moody 9.0% 8.3% 8.0% 10.5% 8.7% 7.6% 7.8% 6.8% 7.5% 6.7% 7.4% 5.6% 4.4% 1.7%
Ryan Gershuny 1.9% 1.4% 2.4% 2.5% 3.0% 2.1% 4.1% 4.2% 4.2% 4.5% 5.3% 9.0% 13.2% 42.2%
Dylan Farrell 6.1% 6.0% 5.9% 5.3% 6.8% 7.2% 5.3% 5.7% 8.5% 9.5% 7.6% 10.0% 8.9% 7.2%
Alex Moreno 7.1% 4.4% 6.6% 5.8% 6.6% 6.3% 8.0% 8.3% 8.3% 7.9% 9.3% 8.5% 8.2% 4.7%
Peter Christensen 4.1% 3.6% 4.2% 4.4% 5.6% 5.8% 5.3% 6.6% 8.4% 7.8% 7.4% 10.5% 15.3% 11.0%
Kendal Richardson 9.9% 8.9% 9.1% 9.2% 8.0% 8.9% 9.3% 8.8% 6.1% 6.1% 4.9% 4.3% 4.2% 2.3%
Frank Reeg 4.0% 5.0% 4.2% 6.0% 6.0% 6.1% 6.2% 6.4% 7.6% 9.0% 8.0% 10.1% 12.4% 9.0%
Drake Lyon 8.0% 9.4% 6.3% 7.1% 8.0% 9.4% 8.6% 8.0% 6.8% 6.7% 7.0% 6.7% 4.9% 3.1%
Patrick Isherwood 7.6% 8.8% 8.6% 7.2% 7.6% 7.6% 7.7% 8.2% 8.9% 6.6% 8.2% 6.4% 4.2% 2.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.