Race 13A

oberg

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Sam Alexander 6.8% 9.7% 9.0% 8.7% 8.5% 7.4% 8.2% 7.1% 9.7% 6.9% 5.0% 5.7% 4.3% 3.0%
Matthew Lyons 9.7% 8.6% 8.3% 8.0% 8.8% 6.9% 8.2% 9.2% 7.8% 7.3% 6.4% 4.8% 4.6% 1.4%
James Moody 9.7% 8.5% 9.8% 8.0% 7.2% 9.4% 9.3% 6.7% 6.8% 7.6% 5.8% 5.7% 4.5% 1.0%
Dylan Farrell 4.3% 5.5% 7.1% 5.5% 7.4% 5.4% 6.9% 8.0% 6.5% 7.7% 9.2% 11.1% 8.7% 6.7%
Patrick Isherwood 6.3% 7.7% 6.6% 9.6% 7.7% 7.8% 7.6% 7.0% 7.2% 8.3% 8.9% 6.8% 5.2% 3.3%
Bryce Kopp 11.9% 11.7% 12.1% 9.8% 9.7% 8.8% 7.6% 6.6% 6.6% 5.6% 3.2% 3.8% 2.0% 0.6%
Amina Brown 11.6% 9.7% 10.0% 9.3% 8.7% 8.1% 9.9% 7.0% 7.0% 5.8% 5.0% 3.9% 3.0% 1.0%
Kendal Richardson 10.0% 11.2% 8.9% 8.6% 8.2% 8.6% 8.7% 6.6% 7.1% 5.3% 6.0% 5.7% 3.9% 1.2%
Frank Reeg 5.3% 3.4% 4.5% 4.5% 5.4% 5.8% 6.6% 6.3% 8.7% 8.8% 10.9% 7.8% 12.1% 9.9%
Ryan Gershuny 1.7% 2.0% 1.5% 1.8% 1.8% 1.8% 3.0% 3.0% 4.8% 4.0% 6.8% 8.6% 15.0% 44.2%
Peter Christensen 4.0% 3.6% 4.8% 5.0% 5.4% 6.7% 4.9% 6.7% 6.4% 9.6% 7.5% 12.5% 11.0% 11.9%
Alex Moreno 6.5% 5.3% 4.8% 8.4% 6.8% 7.7% 6.0% 10.0% 7.9% 8.3% 6.6% 7.1% 9.5% 5.1%
Drake Lyon 8.2% 8.1% 7.1% 7.1% 8.1% 9.5% 7.8% 9.2% 6.2% 7.1% 7.4% 6.8% 4.4% 3.0%
Sean Beaulieu 4.0% 5.0% 5.5% 5.7% 6.3% 6.1% 5.3% 6.6% 7.3% 7.7% 11.3% 9.7% 11.8% 7.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.