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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University2.70+1.82vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.62+1.04vs Predicted
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3Brown University2.07+0.84vs Predicted
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4Harvard University1.67+0.48vs Predicted
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5Maine Maritime Academy1.32+0.09vs Predicted
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6Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.53-1.20vs Predicted
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7Bentley University0.50-0.36vs Predicted
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8Boston University1.05-2.36vs Predicted
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9University of New Hampshire-1.62-0.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.82Tufts University2.700.3%1st Place
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3.04Bowdoin College2.620.2%1st Place
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3.84Brown University2.070.2%1st Place
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4.48Harvard University1.670.1%1st Place
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5.09Maine Maritime Academy1.320.1%1st Place
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4.8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.530.1%1st Place
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6.64Bentley University0.500.0%1st Place
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5.64Boston University1.050.1%1st Place
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8.64University of New Hampshire-1.620.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charles Proctor | 28.0% | 21.8% | 18.0% | 15.5% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Wes Fleuchaus | 23.3% | 22.8% | 17.9% | 14.6% | 11.0% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.1% |
| Emmett Weeks | 15.1% | 14.6% | 16.8% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 2.6% | 0.2% |
| Nick Waldo | 9.9% | 12.0% | 12.1% | 16.2% | 14.5% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 6.6% | 0.5% |
| Lucas Campbell | 6.4% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 18.2% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 2.2% |
| Neil Forrester | 8.4% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 11.8% | 17.2% | 16.5% | 15.1% | 9.3% | 0.5% |
| Jaime Russell | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 10.6% | 18.7% | 39.9% | 7.6% |
| Jacob Waldman | 5.8% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 21.2% | 19.5% | 3.3% |
| Colin Knirk | 0.3% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 6.6% | 85.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.