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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University2.62+6.58vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90+7.88vs Predicted
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3Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+3.53vs Predicted
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4Harvard University3.20+1.79vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College3.21+0.84vs Predicted
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6Salve Regina University1.22+6.04vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.85-0.13vs Predicted
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8Boston University2.01+1.76vs Predicted
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9Tufts University3.38-3.85vs Predicted
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10Brown University2.70-2.47vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College3.56-6.19vs Predicted
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12University of Rhode Island2.76-4.49vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont2.19-3.56vs Predicted
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14Northeastern University1.66-3.24vs Predicted
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15University of New Hampshire1.74-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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7.58Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
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9.88Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
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6.53Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
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5.79Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
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5.84Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
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12.04Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.87Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
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9.76Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
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5.15Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
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7.53Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
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4.81Bowdoin College3.560.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
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9.44University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
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10.76Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
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10.51University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 7.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.6% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.9% | 11.1% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.4% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 7.4% | 3.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.2% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 9.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.7% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.9% | 7.6% | 11.4% | 16.7% | 33.8% |
| Henry Dumke | 8.8% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 4.1% | 3.1% | 0.7% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 11.3% | 10.1% |
| James Beatty | 11.6% | 13.2% | 12.7% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Quinn Andersen | 6.0% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% |
| Matthew Kaplan | 14.7% | 16.8% | 12.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 4.1% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Brendan Read | 5.5% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 5.5% | 4.1% | 1.2% |
| Benjamin Craig | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Kurran Singh | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 6.9% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 15.5% | 16.6% |
| James Amaral | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 14.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.