← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
53.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Bowdoin College3.56+3.62vs Predicted
-
2Roger Williams University2.62+5.52vs Predicted
-
3Boston College2.85+3.87vs Predicted
-
4Harvard University3.20+1.81vs Predicted
-
5Boston University2.01+4.81vs Predicted
-
6Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.93+0.65vs Predicted
-
7Connecticut College3.21-1.32vs Predicted
-
8Brown University2.70-0.59vs Predicted
-
9University of Rhode Island2.76-1.82vs Predicted
-
10University of Vermont2.19-0.72vs Predicted
-
11Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.90-0.87vs Predicted
-
12Salve Regina University1.22+0.27vs Predicted
-
13Tufts University3.38-7.55vs Predicted
-
14Northeastern University1.66-3.21vs Predicted
-
15University of New Hampshire1.74-4.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.62Bowdoin College3.560.2%1st Place
-
7.52Roger Williams University2.620.1%1st Place
-
6.87Boston College2.850.1%1st Place
-
5.81Harvard University3.200.1%1st Place
-
9.81Boston University2.010.0%1st Place
-
6.65Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.930.1%1st Place
-
5.68Connecticut College3.210.1%1st Place
-
7.41Brown University2.700.1%1st Place
-
7.18University of Rhode Island2.760.1%1st Place
-
9.28University of Vermont2.190.0%1st Place
-
10.13Massachusetts Maritime Academy1.900.0%1st Place
-
12.27Salve Regina University1.220.0%1st Place
-
5.45Tufts University3.380.1%1st Place
-
10.79Northeastern University1.660.0%1st Place
-
10.51University of New Hampshire1.740.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matthew Kaplan | 15.4% | 17.5% | 11.9% | 11.6% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% |
| A. Tucker Atterbury | 5.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% |
| Henry Dumke | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 0.7% |
| Nicholas Karnovsky | 11.1% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Joseph Benoit | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 12.6% | 12.8% | 9.8% |
| Cutter O'Connell | 8.5% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 6.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 1.7% | 0.5% |
| Hugh MacGillivray | 11.9% | 8.7% | 12.1% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.1% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% |
| Quinn Andersen | 6.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 3.5% | 1.5% |
| Brendan Read | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 0.8% |
| Benjamin Craig | 4.0% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 11.1% | 12.2% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 6.3% |
| Jeffrey Adam | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% |
| Bayard Lalor | 1.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 17.5% | 34.8% |
| James Beatty | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% |
| Kurran Singh | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 13.7% | 15.3% | 16.4% |
| James Amaral | 1.8% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 14.9% | 14.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.